Fifty years in Wall Street
regulate rates of interest, after the manner of the Bank of England, is
deserving of no consideration whatever. It would merely excite and
provoke the jealousy and opposition of other banking institutions, and
create a sort of monopoly with special privileges, without securing the
end in view. A Bank of Banks is not what we want, nor do we want a
revival of the old United States Bank.
Such a bank as the Bank of England, or the Bank of France, could not be
created here, either in a day or a generation, for those time-honored
institutions are the growth of ages. They are very much older than any
of the other banks there; and, under the control of their respective
governments, they have grown up with their countries and become
practically, although not by ownership, government institutions. Hence
their prestige and power, and the impossibility of other banks
superseding them.
It may, however, deserve consideration whether the New York Clearing
House might not exert power in regulating rates of interest similar to
that exercised by the Bank of England, providing the banks belonging to
it would unite to give it that power; and is there any reason why they
should not? Even without any formal or concentrated action in this
direction, outside of the Clearing House Committee, it could appoint a
committee to name every week, or oftener when necessary, as the Bank of
England does, a minimum rate of interest on call loans and discounts. It
could also fix a maximum rate for each. This need not be compulsory; but
even only as a recommendation it would have a powerful moral effect, and
the Wall Street banks, if they approved of the innovation, would conform
to it. The Clearing House could, indeed, after the formal approval of
this regulation by its members, enforce its observance under penalties,
if deemed necessary. In this alone, in my opinion, a practical remedy
would be found for the high rate evil on the Stock Exchange.
But, at the same time, greater elasticity could be given to our national
bank currency if Congress would amend the law so as to permit of
currency being issued against specified bank assets, subject to the
approval of the Comptroller of the Currency. This is a feature of the
banking system of other countries, which has always worked very well and
to the satisfaction of all interests; and what our currency urgently
needs is greater elasticity.
Strictly speaking, according to economic principles, we cannot expect a
perfect currency, with all the resiliency and elasticity possible in a
currency, so long as bonds instead of gold are used as the basis of our
bank circulation. Yet for security the bonds are, under present
conditions, just as good as gold; and there would be more elasticity in
the bank circulation based upon them if the restrictions imposed upon
their redemption by the Act of 1882, which are now unnecessary, were
removed. Indeed, the inability to promptly retire bank notes is one of
the worst faults of our system, and Congress should repeal the
restrictions without delay. If this obstacle in the way of resiliency
were removed, and the unlimited retirement of bank notes permitted, we
may rest assured that free expansion, when demanded, would quickly
follow curtailment, and this ebb and flow of the currency would
obviously be an elastic movement.
As it is, there is a great waste of banking power in our treatment of
national bank notes and reserves. We have $544,765,959 of national bank
notes, and only $337,130,321 of United States legal tender notes, and,
setting gold aside, the redemption of the former in the latter is
obviously absurd and inconsistent with sound finance and good banking.
We see in the present system this $544,765,959 of banking capital
absorbed and represented by non-reserve currency. The capital is
perfectly safe, but it is locked out of any other use, and rendered
inefficient for any other purpose. This calls for a remedy. The
percentage of reserves to loans in national banks has decreased from
more than 20 per cent in 1898 to less than 15 per cent. Hence the bank
reserves require to be increased.
The law relating to the redemption of national bank notes in United
States notes, or greenbacks, was passed when the greenbacks very largely
exceeded the bank notes in amount, but the reversal of these conditions
reminds us that the tail is now wagging the dog. This alone makes it
clear that the law should be amended.
But beyond all this we should open our money market more to the rest of
the world by establishing a new factor, which would always afford prompt
relief in times of stringency, by giving us cable transfers of gold,
instead of gold shipments, and of itself prevent abnormally high rates.
Through this medium we could, instantly, practically draw gold from
Europe whenever wanted, and Europe could do the same from us, when
needed there. I refer to the establishment of an International Gold
Transfer System, or Clearing House, to supersede and dispense with what
I may call the old-fashioned gold see-saw. Gold in circulation is doing
good work, but gold see-sawing across the ocean is going to waste. The
custom of shipping gold from one country to another, in response to the
ups and downs of the market rates for foreign exchange, not only reminds
me of the forward-and-back movement in a quadrille, but suggests that,
as the precious metal is rendered practically useless while in transit,
it should not be used in a dance of that kind across the ocean. The
subject may not seem to be very important, but it really is so, for
“tall oaks from little acorns grow”; and it is surprising that in the
march of modern improvement this method of settling international
balances has not been superseded by a shorter, quicker, and cheaper cut
to transatlantic adjustments. Bankers, in both hemispheres, are absurdly
behind this progressive and electric age, in transporting gold from the
New World to the Old, and vice versa, to adjust balances between them,
whenever the rates of exchange show a profit in the transaction. That
they could profitably dispense with it is obvious, as they could easily
establish this transfer system, this international clearing house for
gold, at very small expense. Thus the risk, and loss of time, involved
in the old-fashioned method would be eliminated, while the new
arrangement, being under their own control, would beyond peradventure
serve every necessary purpose of the shippers, combined with perfect
safety.
The disadvantage of shipping boxes or kegs of gold to and fro between
America and Europe is apparent when we consider that it is a
time-wasting see-saw performance, which involves the expense of packing,
cartage, freightage, insurance, and loss of interest while in transit,
and still greater loss due to abrasion consequent on sea transportation,
to say nothing of bankers’ commissions, and risk of partial or entire
loss by robbery, accident, or marine disaster; ignoring, moreover, the
restraints it imposes upon our foreign trade.
All these disadvantages could be obviated and this handicap upon our
commerce removed by a mutual-interest arrangement, between the leading
banks in the United States and Europe, to deposit a sufficiently large
amount of gold on each side of the Atlantic, and issue international
clearing-house certificates and draw bills of exchange against the
deposits. This gold could be counted as part of their reserve, if in
their own vaults; or the Bank of England, in London, and the United
States Sub-Treasury in Wall Street, could be used as the gold
depositaries. We have a clearing house for bank checks in each of the
large cities, and one also for the transactions of the New York Stock
Exchange. London, too, has its bank clearing house. Why, then, should
the clearing house system not be extended to international transfers of
gold, so as to make them possible at any moment by cable-telegraph
instead of the slow process of six-days transfers? In this way our
international dealings would be quickened and extended and our financial
and commercial relations become more intimate.
There is no good reason why we should unnecessarily treat gold as we do,
when we can save time, money, and risk by keeping the metal where it is,
and issuing certificates of deposit against it, and the use and transfer
of which would serve as well as gold shipments.
The present custom becomes a ridiculous “chasse” across the Atlantic,
when we see the same gold shipped to Europe, then shipped back to
America within a few days after reaching its destination, without being
unpacked, owing to sudden intervening changes in the rates of exchange,
making it profitable for the former gold exporting country to import the
metal. Such wasteful shilly-shally procedure would be likely to excite
mirth in opera bouffe, but bankers who ship gold are very serious about
it, and seem to be without enough perception of the ludicrous to see
anything funny in its coming and going, although they feel the shoe
pinch in its costliness in both time and money. As the world’s gold
production increases the urgent need of this over-sea change will become
more and more conspicuous, and its adoption will accord with the
generally progressive spirit and methods of our telegraphic and
telephonic age.
Had such an international gold clearing house existed the sagacious but
unprecedented action of the Secretary of the Treasury, to relieve the
money market by making deposits, as secured loans, in certain banks, to
encourage and cover their prospective gold importations from Europe, the
same to be returned on the arrival of the gold, would have been
unnecessary. While this expedient has well served a temporary purpose,
it is not to be relied upon as a permanent source of relief during
monetary stress, and it involves a stretch of authority under the law
that is open to grave objection. But, as it happened, the Secretary’s
action, which was taken just before the San Francisco disaster occurred,
proved particularly fortunate, and probably prevented a very serious
aggravation of the stringency in the money market, owing to the heavy
remittances to California. It was a piece of good luck that seemed
almost providential, and the end justified the means. But it should
always be regarded as only a fortuitous circumstance and temporary
expedient, not as a permanent source of relief; and it emphasizes our
need of a new international gold transfer system. Moreover, the benefit
Europe would derive from it would be equal to our own.
The Secretary, under the circumstances, acted wisely in also increasing
the Treasury deposits in the national banks, while the Government’s
receipts were largely in excess of its disbursements, so as to offset,
as far as possible, this preponderance of receipts, and lessen the drain
of money into the Sub-Treasuries. But this method of relief is, too,
only a temporary expedient, to remedy the evils of the Sub-Treasury
system. While the Sub-Treasury system lasts Congress should authorize
the Secretary to deposit customs, as well as internal revenue receipts,
in the national bank depositaries, in time of stringency, when the
Government’s receipts exceed its disbursements, and it has more than a
sufficient working balance. The Government should, as a compensation to
it, require the banks to pay interest at, say, two and one-half or three
per cent per annum on such deposits, these not to exceed, in amount, 25
per cent of their paid-up and unimpaired capital, and to be returnable
on demand, but without requiring these special deposits to be secured.
They should, however, be made a first lien upon the assets of the banks.
If the changes above suggested were made, I am sanguine that they would
prove to be remedies for the evils and disadvantages under which we now