Fifty years in Wall Street
silver circulation of the Latin nations, that it seems certain they
would soon become willing to assume their share in restoring silver. At
any rate, it is a proper and necessary compulsion for us to apply.
5. The Government is very closely threatened with a suspension of gold
payments, if the coinage is continued. We have already seen a point at
which the Treasury had to negotiate with the banks for six millions of
gold to avert that catastrophe; and it is only a thin margin of a very
few millions that separates us from such a condition all the time. Of
course, if the Government suspended coin payments, gold would be apt to
go to an indefinite premium; with the consequence of a rush of
greenbacks into the Treasury for redemption and a depreciation of such
paper as is redeemable in silver to the purchasing power of that coin.
In my view, these dangers are much nearer than is generally supposed;
and it is a most unjustifiable policy that needlessly perpetuates this
state of things.
6. For the reasons assigned in my other answers to your inquiries, I
regard the suspension of the coinage of the the silver dollars as to the
last degree imperative. And the suspension should be both total and
unconditional. Either a partial or a temporary suspension would fail
equally to avert the home dangers with which we are threatened, and to
bring about that European action which is indispensable to a sound and
permanent settlement of the question.
So long as there was no efficient conventional arrangement for
maintaining the value of silver, no nation can safely continue its
coinage, because, in so doing, it was increasing its stock of currency,
the future value of which could not be depended upon, and which might
easily become a source of embarrassment and injustice between citizen
and citizen, between debtor and creditor. In our country, however, such
was the political influence of the silver-producing States that they
easily induced Congress to order the coinage of not less than
$24,000,000 per annum of standard silver dollars. The effect of this has
been, undoubtedly, to somewhat check the decline in silver bullion; but
at the expense of the artificial addition already of $230,000,000 of
badly depreciated legal tender to our circulating medium. Our whole
currency system has thus been vitiated; for our $680,000,000 of paper
money may be redeemed in silver; and we are thus exposed to the very
gravest dangers, in the event of anything causing an important drain of
gold to Europe. That the coin thus issued was not really needed for the
purposes of circulation is demonstrated by the fact that it has been
found impossible to get more than one-third of it into circulation. In
order to obviate this difficulty, various devices have been introduced
for keeping the coin in the Treasury and issuing against it paper
certificates of small denominations. The most ingenious of these
contrivances was the one proposed by Hon. A. J. Warner, of Ohio, and
pressed on the Government for its endorsement. In September last I took
occasion to publish certain objections to Mr. Warner’s scheme, which was
finally rejected by the Silver party; and, with that rejection, there is
probably an end to all proposals for creating a purely silver paper
currency. As a brief exposition of one phase of this controversy, it may
perhaps be permissible to reproduce here the views then expressed:
Mr. Warner’s measure virtually concedes that the coinage of the
silver dollar has already been carried to a point that threatens
serious danger to the currency system of the country, and,
consequently, to the just relations between the creditor and
debtor classes. This confession from a representative of the
Silver party does not come a day too soon; and it would be
welcome, were it not accompanied with proposals that would
aggravate the evils which need to be remedied. Let us briefly
examine Mr. Warner’s plan.
First, it discontinues the current monthly coinage of silver
dollars required under the existing “Bland Act.” 2. It provides
that, in lieu of this current coinage, holders of silver bullion
may deposit any amount thereof in the United States Treasury. 3.
It requires that, against such unrestricted deposits of bullion,
the Government shall issue to the depositors “bullion
certificates,” expressing an amount of money equal to the market
value of the bullion at the time of its deposit. 4. These
certificates are to act as a new form of currency. The
Government could use them in liquidation of all its debts not
made expressly payable in gold; and it would be required to
accept them in payment of customs duties, taxes and public dues
generally. The national banks would be required to accept them
in payments between themselves. And, 5, the certificates are
made redeemable in lawful money, (i. e., either gold, silver or
U. S. notes), or at the option of the Treasury in silver bullion
at its current value at the time of redemption. These are the
more vital provisions of the scheme. Let us see what they
involve.
Against the whole plan there lies a very positive doubt of its
constitutionality. The Constitution empowers Congress to
authorize the coinage of gold and silver, and to make such coins
a legal tender; but there is nothing in the powers thus
conferred, nor in any powers conveyed by that instrument, that
can be construed into a right of the Government to receive
silver bullion on deposit. The Government can have no interest,
duty or function in connection with bullion, except so far as it
may be procured for the express purpose of coinage. It can have
no more power to assume the custody of bullion for the
accommodation of its producers than it has to store cotton, iron
or wheat for the convenience of the dealers in those
commodities. And when, in addition to assuming the grave
responsibilities of custodian, the Government undertakes to
issue receipts endowed with special privileges and attributes,
calculated to incorporate those receipts as an important part of
the currency system, it commits a breach of the true functions
of government and of the true constitutional limitations of
federal authority, which, it would seem, the Supreme Court
should unqualifiedly prohibit.
The provision made for the redemption of these proposed
certificates would be to the last degree objectionable. They are
payable in legal tender money, or, at the option of the
Government, in an equivalent value of silver bullion at its
current market price. If the Government chooses to redeem them
in lawful money, it exposes itself to a new and important demand
upon its legal tender notes or its gold: and as the amount of
greenbacks owned by the Treasury now runs so low as to prohibit
those notes being used for the purpose, it follows that the
redemption of the certificates would have to be made from the
Treasury stock of gold. Thus the operation of the scheme would
be to exchange the Government gold for silver bullion. What
could the silver men desire better? What could all other
interests dread more? It would be a direct step towards
incapacitating the Government for maintaining gold payments;
and, as such, would go far towards dissipating that broad
substratum of gold which is the sole means of preventing our
entire paper currency from depreciating to a level with the
bullion value of the silver dollar.
It is thus clear that the Government would be ultimately driven
to redeem the certificates in silver bullion. What does that
imply? First, that the Treasury would have to stand the loss
upon the deposits of bullion that might arise from a fall in its
value. Take a case for illustration. A deposit is made of
1,000,000 ounces of gold at the current price of $1.10 per
ounce, the Treasury being required to issue against it
$1,100,000 of certificates. Later, when the price of silver has
fallen to say $1.05, the $1,100,000 of certificates is presented
for redemption, and 1,047,619 ounces of silver have to be
delivered, as the bullion equivalent at the current market
value. The Government thus loses 47,619 ounces of silver by the
transaction. Now, seeing what a handsome profit can be made by
thus depositing bullion at a higher price and withdrawing it at
a lower, are men so virtuous that we can depend on their not
working this Treasury silver mine to the utmost possible
advantage? With the hands of the Government thus tied, it would
be at the mercy of unprincipled speculators and could not escape
being mulcted to the extent of millions of dollars. The moment
such a bill was signed by the President, speculative
combinations would be formed with London bullion dealers; the
European stocks would be secured, and, after advancing the
price, would be sent to the United States Treasury. The next
step would be to force down the price; and then the certificates
would be presented to be redeemed by a much larger quantity of
silver than had been deposited against them. And thus the game
would go on continuously, the Government being the loser in
every transaction. A finer scheme for the benefit of speculators
could not have been conceived; but for legitimate interests, in
many ways dependent on the value of silver, nothing could be
more serious.
There is nothing in Mr. Warner’s measure to prevent the United
States Treasury from being saddled with as much of the European
stocks of silver as speculators find it to their interest to
send here, in addition to the product of our own mines; and for
such deposits the Treasury would be compelled to pay whatever
artificial price it suited the operators to determine. And what
does such a transfer involve? First, that we should have to ship
so much more gold to Europe, making the operation a virtual
exchange of Europe’s silver for America’s gold; next, that the
United States Government would thus be made to bear the sole
weight and responsibility of carrying the WORLD’S surplus of
silver; next, that, as a consequence, England, Germany, and
other nations would become still more reluctant than they now
are to negotiate for an international settlement of the silver
question; next, that the Government would be so handicapped with
its enormous load of silver as to place it at an utter
disadvantage in such negotiations; next, that the Government
would be exposed to immense losses in assuming such vast
responsibilities; and, next, that the large issues of
certificates to be made against this mass of bullion would be a
forcible and artificial inflation of the currency, which could
not fail to produce disaster to all the material interests of
the country.
Of course, such an arrangement would be all that the silver
interests could desire. For them, indeed, it would be a far
better protection than the Bland Act. But this advantage would
be only temporary; for when the scheme broke down of its own
weight, as sooner or later it must, the miners would be exposed
to ruin from the consequent derangements.
The only wholesome treatment of this question is to repeal the
Silver Coinage Act. That done, we should add $25,000,000 to our
yearly exports, instead of locking up so much of our national
product as dead capital in the Treasury; while that increase of
exports would give us a greater command of European gold and